Page 5 - WEF Reoprt 2020
P. 5

The Global Shapers Risks Landscape 2020  The Global Risks Interconnections Map 2020
           Figure IV: The Global Risks Interconnections Map 2020


 Economic  Environmental

 Climate  Biodiversity
 action failure  loss
                                                       N Natural disasters
                                                             disasters
                                                        a
                                                           r
                                                           a
                                                         t
                                                          u
 Extreme                                               Natural l  d i s a s t e r s
 Human-made
 environmental  weather
 disasters  Natural disasters
 4.0  4.0  4.0
                                                                                   n
                                                                                    -
                                                                                         e
                                                                                  a
                                                                              H Human-made
                                                                                        d
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                                                                                m
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                                      e
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                             t
                              r
                          Extr
                            x
                              eme
                                  e
                                    w
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                                m
                                           e
 Critical  Unemployment   E Extreme weatherweather r                          Human-made
                                                                                  onmental
                                                                               n
                                                                              e environmental disaster
                                                                                v
                                                                                 i
 Financial  infra-                                                            envir r o n m e n t a l  d i s a s t e r
 failure  structure
 failure                                                                      disasters
 Unmanageable  Fiscal crises
 inflation  Asset bubbles
                  t
 3.5  Energy price shock  3.5  I Infectious diseases s
                         a
                   i
               n Infectious
                           e
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                          s
                f
                        e
                       i
                       s
                      diseases
                     s
                      d
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                    u
 Deflation
 Illicit trade
                                        crises
                                      d
                                  F Food crises
                                  Food  c r i s e s                          Biodiversity  l o s s
                                    o
                                   o
                                                                                  v
                                                                                   e
                                                                             B Biodiversity lossloss
                                                                                d
                                                                                 i
                                                                               o
                                                                                    r
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                                                                                     i
                                                                              i
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                                                                                      y
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               F Failure ofof
                 i
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 Impact                                                                             G Global l
 3.0  3.0    u urban planningplanning
                n
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             urban
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                                                                                      l Global
                                                                                       o
                                                                                        b
                                                                                         a
                                                                                                   eapons
                                                                                      a
                                                                                     n
                                                                                                    a
                                                                                          e
                                                                                        c
                                                                                                   e
                                                                                       n
                                                                               governance
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                                                                                                  W
 Likelihood  3.0  3.5  4.0  2.5  3.0  3.5  4.0                                 g governance       W Weapons of massmass s
 2.5
                                                                                                      s
                                                                                                       t
                                                                                                    destruction
                                                                                                    d destruction
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                                                                                      a failure
 Geopolitical  Societal       W ater r  c r i s e s  C Climate action
                                a
                                  t
                              W Water crisescrises
                                  e
                                                          a
                                                                    n
                                                        m
                                                       i
                                                      l Climate
                                                               action
                                                                c
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                                                               e
                                                          a failur
                                                               r
                                                            i
                                                          f failure
                                                               e
                                                            l
                                                             u
 Water crises
 Weapons of   C Critical infrastructure e e
                      r
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 Food  3.5                f failure e e
 crises  Average
 Infectious
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                                                                                                     e
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                                                                                                 r
                                                                                                  s
                                                                                                    a
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 diseases                                                                                     I InterstateInterstate
    3.47                                I Involuntary migration
                                                           o
                                           o
                                              n
                                                          t
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                                             u
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                                                        r
                                                    migration
                                                    m
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                                                      i
                                                a
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                                                  y
                                                 r
                                          v
                                                        a
                                        n Involuntary
                                                          i
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                                                                                                 fl
                                                                                                   c
                                                                                                n
                                                                                               o
 4.0  Interstate  4.0                                                                         c conflictconflict t
                                                                              a
                                                                         a
                                                                           o
                                                                             n
 conflict                                                              N National l
                                                                          t
                                                                           i
                                                                       National
           r
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        n
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            m
          o
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                 n
               i
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 Terrorist  State  I InformationInformation
                t
                                                                              n
                                                                               c
        i infrastructuree
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                                                                      g governance
              u
                                                                           n
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             t
             r
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          r
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                                                                         e
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                 u
                                                                            a
                                                                       o
 attacks  collapse  Global governance failure  Involuntary  infrastructur r e  gover r nance
 migration
            k
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               w
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                                                                             r
                                                                           u
                                                                         a failur
                                                                          i
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                                                                             e
                                                                             e
                                                                                               c
                                                                                                i
                                                                                                t
                                                                                              l Illicit
                                                                                               l
                                                                                               i
                                                                                                  a
                                                                                                   d
 National  Failure of  br r eakdown  Cyberattacks                       f failure             I Illicit trade e
                                                                                                 trade
                                                                                                 t
                                                                                                  r
                                          a
                                          t
                                         t
                                              s
                                             k
                                           c
                                     b
                                    y
                                  C Cyberattacks
                                        a
                                       r
                                      e
 governance  urban planning
 failure
 3.5  3.5
                                                              s
                                                            n
                                                                a
                                                               t
                                                            instability
                                                         i
                                                         a
                                                            i
                                                           l
                                                       c
                                                    Social
                                                                    i
                                                                    t
                                                    S Social instability
                                                                     y
                                                                   l
                                                                  i
                                                                 b
                                                      o
 Social instability
                                                                                                    r
                                                                                                     o
                                                                                                   err
                                                                                                    r
                                                                                                  T T Terrorist attacks s
                                                                                                   e
                                                                                                          t
                                                                                                         t
                                                                                                        a
                                                                                                           c
                                                                                                            k
                                                                                                          a
                                                                                                      i
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                                                                                                       t
                                                                                                       s
                                                                                                        attacks
                                                                                       e
                                                                                         c
                                                                                         collapse
                                                                                     t State
                                                                                    S State collapse
                                                                                       t
                                                                                      a
                                                                                            p
                                                                                              s
                                                                                              e
                                                                                            a
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                 a
                      d
                     u
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               D Data fraud
               Data  fraud  Adverse  t e c h n o l o g i c a l
                 t
                               s
                          A Adverse technologicaltechnological
                           d
                             v
                                e
                              e
                               r
 Impact
 3.0  3.0       o or theft t    a advancesadvances                                                E Energy price shock k
                  theft
                  t
                 r or
                    f
                   e
                  h
                                      c
                                       e
                                        s
                                    n
                                 d
                                  v
                                   a
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                                                                                                     gy
                                                                                                    e
                                                                                                  Ener
                                                                                                   n
                                                                                                     g
                                                                                                          s
                                                                                                          shock
                                                                                                         e
                                                                                                            c
                                                                                                            o
                                                                                                           h
                                                                                                       price
                                                                                                       p
                                                                                                      y
                                                                                                        c
                                                                                                        i
                                                                                                       r
                                               Unemployment
                                                  e
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                                                        y
                                                     p
                                                   m
                                                      l
                                                         m
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                                                n
                                                                                 l
                                                                                    s
                                                                                   r
                                                                              i Fiscal
                                                                              s
                                                                               c
                                                                                  crises
                                                                                    i
                                                                                      s
 Likelihood  3.0  3.5  4.0  2.5  3.0  3.5  4.0  U Unemployment t             F Fiscal crises
                                                                                  c
                                                                                     e
                                                                                a
 2.5
                                i
                       F Financial failure
                                 u
                           c
                               f
                            i
                        n
                              l
                        i Financial
                                 l
                             a
                                  r
                                   e
                                   e
                          n
                         a
                               a
                               failur
 Technological  Respondents  3.0                                                              Unmanageable e  i n fl a t i o n
                                                                                                     a
                                                                                                       l
                                                                                               n
                                                                                                 a
                                                                                                   a
                                                                                                  n
                                                                                              U Unmanageable inflationinflation
                                                                                                m
                                                                                                    e
                                                                                                    g
                                                                                                      b
                                                                           a
                                                                            t
                                                                             o
                                                                            i
                                                                        Deflation
                                                                         e
                                                                          fl
                                              s
                                               s
                                                e
                                             Asset t  b u b b l e       D Deflation n
                                             A Asset bubblebubbles
 Cyberattacks  Shapers
 4.0  Information  Multistakeholder
 infrastructure
 breakdown  2.5                         3.0                         3.5                         4.0
 Data fraud or theft  Likelihood                           Average
 The Global Shapers Community is the World                 3.32
 Economic Forum’s network of young people  Economic  Geopolitical  Technological
 3.5  driving dialogue, action and change.  Risks  Risks        Risks
                                                                                         Number and strength
                            Environmental           Societal                             of connections
 Adverse
 technological                 Risks                 Risks                               (“weighted degree”)
 advances
 Note: We applied the same completion thresholds to survey responses from the
 Impact  We received 236 responses for Part 1 “The World in 2020” and 190 for Part 2
 3.0  Global Shapers as to the multi-stakeholder sample (see Appendix B: Global Risks
 Perception Survey and Methodology).
 “Assessment of Global Risks”. The data for Part 3 “Global Risk Interconnections”
 was not used.
                                                         Note: Survey respondents were asked to select up to six pairs of global risks they believe to be most
             Source: World Economic Forum Global Risks
                                                         interconnected. See Appendix B of the full report for more details. To ensure legibility, the names of the
             Perception Survey 2019–2020.
                                                        See Appendix B for more details. To ensure legibility, the names of the global risks are abbreviated; see Appendix A for
 Likelihood  3.0  3.5  4.0  Source: World Economic Forum Global Risks    Note: Survey respondents were asked to select up to six pairs of global risks they believe to be most interconnected.
 2.5
             Perception Survey 2019–2020.
                                                         global risks are abbreviated; see Appendix A for the full name and description.
                                                        full names and descriptions.
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